
Not urgent. Bark does not fall off living wood. Wherever it sloughs, the cambium underneath died some time ago and that section of trunk stopped moving water and sugar — the shedding is the aftermath, not the event. The number that decides everything is how much of the trunk's circumference is involved. A strip is a wound the tree grows around. A band all the way around is a girdle, and everything above it is finished whether it looks green today or not.
Slow signal, not a countdown — nothing meaningful changes in days or weeks. Across one to three seasons, decay fungi work into the exposed face, the trunk loses cross-section there, and branches above the dead zone die and become the actual falling hazard. Recheck each spring: a growing roll of callus at the wound margins means the tree is closing it; an expanding bare patch plus a thinning canopy means it is not.